Archive for April, 2012

PREY OR HUNTER

Monday, April 30th, 2012

I have written numerous times about the growth of Walmart and Amazon and the juggernaut of big numbers.  In the latest quarter Amazon grew Y/Y more than DeMoulas Markets, the number 41 North American Grocer generates in a year. 

This is not to say that Amazon’s growth is coming from grocery, it is not.  As a matter of fact they have had remarkable success in gaining, every week every household business despite by their own numbers generating FMCG purchases from only 4% of their customers.   So they have not turned their sights on grocery in a significant way…yet.

amazonresults.jpg

The point is that consumers have been much more willing to change their purchase habits and channel preferences than any of the experts have predicted across the consumer products spectrum from shoes to sugar.  

The amount of volume switching channels and seeking benefits other than those provided by their traditional retailers is staggering.  Over 3 billion dollars shifted out of traditional book, electronics, music and other outlets in one quarter.  

And so for our next few blogs we are going to concentrate on two issues: 

1.    A few key areas that FMCG retailers should concentrate efforts in order to position themselves to at least keep pace and potentially win in the shift in consumer shopping habits. 

2.    A couple of hypothetic models of how some of the big digital based interlopers might come after your grocery customers.  No inside knowledge here, just speculation. My purpose is clear…to give the grocery retailer of the day a foil against which she might counter strategize. 

Shelf Nannies Caring for Your Brand, Banner and Shoppers.

Wednesday, April 18th, 2012

  

 

Procter & Gamble announced the closing of its Retail Pulse organization in favor of brokers for in-store servicing.  “Shelf-Back” is now in the hands of a small group of super-brokers or “shelf-nannies”, who ply the supermarket, mass, drug and convenience aisles.  

  

Kraft Foods Group, Inc. will no longer be supported by the vaunted wall-to-wall retail service program but will use these same organizations.

  

Our brands are our “children” and they have increasingly been entrusted to three companies: Acosta, Advantage Sales and Marketing and Crossmark.  These companies care for an enormous portfolio of our carefully planned brands.

lNanny in Aisle 4

So how do we keep in touch with the kids and, as importantly, with the environment they play in each day?

  

There are a variety of “proxies” measuring tasks such as new product cut-ins and OOS in an attempt to keep us in touch with the store environment.  These are usually based upon some version of POS based demand forecasting that attempts to guess at OOS and other in-store factors.  This data is generally supplemented by self reported statistics, often accompanied by a deluge of raw, unanalyzed pictures.

  

However, an unintended consequence of entrusting our products to these shelf professionals is that we become detached to the world in which our products live. . . . the retail shelf.    Our perception of that world is shaped by these dashboard reports, a few carefully selected photos and some syndicated reports which are rolled up and weeks old.   The more estranged we become from that shelf reality, the more our interpretation may lead us down paths of action that are inconsistent with the real needs of our brand’s equity. 

  

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